Aarhus Fremad 1-0 Fremad Amager — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.09
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.42
6+ Goals
7%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 33% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-3.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.3pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.9pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Fremad Amager EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.55/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.03
+22% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarhus Fremad
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Fremad Amager
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.62 xG 0.79
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
479 Passes 179
85% Pass Accuracy 65%
39 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 1-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
22.10.2023 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 1-1 HT 1-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
10.09.2023 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 3-1 HT 2-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
09.11.2022 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 3-1 HT 3-1 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarhus Fremad
1-0
AWAY Fremad Amager
67% Ball Possession 33%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aarhus Fremad vs Fremad Amager
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarhus Fremad squeezed past Fremad Amager 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Aarhus Fremad found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Aarhus Fremad had 67% of the ball to Fremad Amager's 33%, shots finished 9-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Aarhus Fremad had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Aarhus Fremad and 1.00 for Fremad Amager.

What was the final score of Aarhus Fremad vs Fremad Amager?

Aarhus Fremad 1-0 Fremad Amager in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarhus Fremad vs Fremad Amager?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fremad Amager win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Aarhus Fremad 34%, draw 30%, Fremad Amager 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fremad Amager) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fremad Amager) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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