Deportivo Cuenca 0-1 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.30/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.22
+3% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 71%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
21.8 Crosses 15.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Libertad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.59 xG 1.06
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
261 Passes 251
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2024 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
28.05.2024 Libertad Libertad 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
12.08.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 2-1 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
04.03.2023 Libertad Libertad 3-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
0-1
AWAY Libertad
1.14 xG 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
310 Passes 211
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad edged past Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Libertad made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Cuenca had 57% of the ball to Libertad's 43%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.14 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.25 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad?

Deportivo Cuenca 0-1 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cuenca win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 40%, draw 29%, Libertad 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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8 Mar 2025
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