Ilves Tampere 0-4 Inter Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.1
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.41
6+ Goals
7%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 29% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.62
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
13%
4.5
X/2
9%
7.59
X/X
16%
4.81
2/1
6%
24.3
2/2
18%
5.81
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-9.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 29%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.53/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.50
+11% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Inter Turku
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.18 xG 1.38
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
408 Passes 302
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.06.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-2 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
22.05.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-0 HT 2-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
09.03.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 0-1 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FLK
27.06.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-1 HT 1-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
15.04.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-1 HT 2-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
11.09.2022 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-1 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilves Tampere
0-4
AWAY Inter Turku
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ilves Tampere vs Inter Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku ran out comfortable winners over Ilves Tampere 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Inter Turku found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ilves Tampere had 53% of the ball to Inter Turku's 47%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ilves Tampere and 0.83 for Inter Turku.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs Inter Turku?

Ilves Tampere 0-4 Inter Turku in the Finland - League Cup on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs Inter Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 39%, draw 29%, Inter Turku 32%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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