SuperSport United 2-2 Orlando Pirates — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Cup, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.18
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
5.03
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.2pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
45%
Away Win
45%
+0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.5pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SuperSport United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / -70%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SuperSport United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Orlando Pirates
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.39 xG 1.51
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
198 Passes 395
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2024 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 2-0 HT 1-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
03.08.2024 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 3-1 HT 1-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAF8K
23.12.2023 SuperSport United SuperSport United 3-1 HT 1-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
18.03.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-0 HT 0-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
21.08.2022 SuperSport United SuperSport United 0-0 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
30.05.2022 SuperSport United SuperSport United 2-0 HT 1-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SuperSport United
2-2
AWAY Orlando Pirates
1.66 xG 1.98
47% Ball Possession 53%
20 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 7
374 Passes 414
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 30
29 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SuperSport United vs Orlando Pirates
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SuperSport United and Orlando Pirates couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Orlando Pirates at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SuperSport United had 47% of the ball to Orlando Pirates's 53%, shots finished 20-19, expected goals 1.66 to 1.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando Pirates led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SuperSport United and 1.17 for Orlando Pirates.

What was the final score of SuperSport United vs Orlando Pirates?

SuperSport United 2-2 Orlando Pirates in the South Afrika - Cup on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SuperSport United vs Orlando Pirates?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split SuperSport United 29%, draw 25%, Orlando Pirates 45%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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