Gimpo Citizen 2-3 Cheongju FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.13
2-3 Goals
34%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
5.15
6+ Goals
8%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
5%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.9pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.4pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.7pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheongju FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +14%
1.06/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.29
-26% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
269 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 72%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.4 Crosses 12.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimpo Citizen
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cheongju FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 0-1 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
26.06.2024 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-1 HT 1-1 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
10.04.2024 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
19.08.2023 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
04.06.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-2 HT 0-2 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
09.04.2023 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimpo Citizen
2-3
AWAY Cheongju FC
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
283 Passes 291
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
37 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gimpo Citizen vs Cheongju FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheongju FC squeezed past Gimpo Citizen 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Gimpo Citizen at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimpo Citizen had 52% of the ball to Cheongju FC's 48%, shots finished 17-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cheongju FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gimpo Citizen and 0.67 for Cheongju FC.

What was the final score of Gimpo Citizen vs Cheongju FC?

Gimpo Citizen 2-3 Cheongju FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimpo Citizen vs Cheongju FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimpo Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gimpo Citizen 44%, draw 32%, Cheongju FC 24%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gimpo Citizen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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