Hwaseong 1-1 Gyeongnam FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
41%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.37
6+ Goals
9%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 28% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-7.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
41%
Away Win
33%
+7.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.1pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
Crosses 20.6
Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hwaseong
1-1
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
188 Passes 409
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hwaseong vs Gyeongnam FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hwaseong and Gyeongnam FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gyeongnam FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hwaseong had 39% of the ball to Gyeongnam FC's 61%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Gyeongnam FC?

Hwaseong 1-1 Gyeongnam FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Gyeongnam FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gyeongnam FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 33%, draw 26%, Gyeongnam FC 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gyeongnam FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongnam FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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