Utrecht (K) 1-1 Fortuna Sittard (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
14%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.4pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.2pp
14%
Away Win
14%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Sittard (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
4.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
+99% / -75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -33%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht (K)
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Fortuna Sittard (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
507 Passes 262
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Crosses 7
08.12.2024 Fortuna Sittard (K) Fortuna Sittard (K) 0-4 HT 0-2 Utrecht (K) Utrecht (K) HOLK1
30.03.2024 Fortuna Sittard (K) Fortuna Sittard (K) 2-2 HT 2-1 Utrecht (K) Utrecht (K) HOLK1
10.12.2023 Utrecht (K) Utrecht (K) 0-6 HT 0-4 Fortuna Sittard (K) Fortuna Sittard (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht (K)
1-1
AWAY Fortuna Sittard (K)
72% Ball Possession 28%
25 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
506 Passes 117
81% Pass Accuracy 51%
40 Crosses 1
POST-MATCH Utrecht (K) vs Fortuna Sittard (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht (K) and Fortuna Sittard (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Utrecht (K) carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Utrecht (K) had 72% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard (K)'s 28%, shots finished 25-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Utrecht (K) and 2.67 for Fortuna Sittard (K).

What was the final score of Utrecht (K) vs Fortuna Sittard (K)?

Utrecht (K) 1-1 Fortuna Sittard (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht (K) vs Fortuna Sittard (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utrecht (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Utrecht (K) 60%, draw 26%, Fortuna Sittard (K) 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Utrecht (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Utrecht (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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