Stoke City U21 1-1 Aston Villa U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.35
No
49%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.6pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
70%
-19.4pp
49%
BTTS No
30%
+19.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stoke City U21 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa U21 EU Bookmakers 46%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.51/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/2.54
-11% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -36%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.2 Crosses 26.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stoke City U21
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Aston Villa U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.91 xG 1.45
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 Passes 358
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2024 Aston Villa U21 Aston Villa U21 2-2 HT 1-0 Stoke City U21 Stoke City U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stoke City U21
1-1
AWAY Aston Villa U21
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
203 Passes 310
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stoke City U21 vs Aston Villa U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stoke City U21 and Aston Villa U21 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 41% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Stoke City U21 had 48% of the ball to Aston Villa U21's 52%, shots finished 17-9.

What was the final score of Stoke City U21 vs Aston Villa U21?

Stoke City U21 1-1 Aston Villa U21 in the INGPL2 on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stoke City U21 vs Aston Villa U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aston Villa U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Stoke City U21 36%, draw 24%, Aston Villa U21 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aston Villa U21), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aston Villa U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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