Omiya Ardija 2-1 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.11
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
13.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-8.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.3pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 21%
+11% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.88/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.59
-9% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 23.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
233 Passes 559
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 2-1 HT 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
18.02.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-0 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
09.10.2022 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 2-1 HT 2-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
03.04.2022 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-0 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
07.11.2021 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-2 HT 1-1 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
27.06.2021 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 0-1 HT 0-1 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija
2-1
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
380 Passes 216
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
29 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija vs Renofa Yamaguchi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija edged past Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Omiya Ardija as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Omiya Ardija had 60% of the ball to Renofa Yamaguchi's 40%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Omiya Ardija and 1.00 for Renofa Yamaguchi.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Omiya Ardija 2-1 Renofa Yamaguchi in the Japan - J2 League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija 51%, draw 24%, Renofa Yamaguchi 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Omiya Ardija), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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