Vegalta Sendai 1-1 V-Varen Nagasaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.06
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.44
6+ Goals
12%
13.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+5.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 42%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +14%
1.30/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.26
+8% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.1 Crosses 18.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vegalta Sendai
2W-1D-3L
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
320 Passes 349
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.12.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-4 HT 0-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
16.06.2024 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 2-2 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
02.03.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-2 HT 0-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
04.11.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 2-1 HT 1-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
01.04.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 0-1 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
23.07.2022 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-2 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vegalta Sendai
1-1
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 2
374 Passes 366
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vegalta Sendai vs V-Varen Nagasaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vegalta Sendai and V-Varen Nagasaki couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vegalta Sendai at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Vegalta Sendai had 51% of the ball to V-Varen Nagasaki's 49%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, V-Varen Nagasaki led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vegalta Sendai and 1.50 for V-Varen Nagasaki.

What was the final score of Vegalta Sendai vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Vegalta Sendai 1-1 V-Varen Nagasaki in the Japan - J2 League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vegalta Sendai vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vegalta Sendai win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vegalta Sendai 41%, draw 25%, V-Varen Nagasaki 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vegalta Sendai), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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