V-Varen Nagasaki 1-4 Vegalta Sendai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒07:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.2
6+ Goals
9%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +22%
1.69/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.08
+23% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
365 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.3 Crosses 15.0
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
241 Passes 448
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.06.2024 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 2-2 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
02.03.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-2 HT 0-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
04.11.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 2-1 HT 1-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
01.04.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 0-1 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
23.07.2022 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-2 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
08.05.2022 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-2 HT 0-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
1-4
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
66% Ball Possession 34%
9 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 2
457 Passes 191
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH V-Varen Nagasaki vs Vegalta Sendai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vegalta Sendai cruised past V-Varen Nagasaki 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was V-Varen Nagasaki at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, V-Varen Nagasaki had 66% of the ball to Vegalta Sendai's 34%, shots finished 9-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, V-Varen Nagasaki had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for V-Varen Nagasaki and 1.33 for Vegalta Sendai.

What was the final score of V-Varen Nagasaki vs Vegalta Sendai?

V-Varen Nagasaki 1-4 Vegalta Sendai in the Japan - J2 League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Vegalta Sendai?

Before kick-off our model rated a V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split V-Varen Nagasaki 42%, draw 28%, Vegalta Sendai 30%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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