Vegalta Sendai 2-2 V-Varen Nagasaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.6
6+ Goals
10%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 28% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.3pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
1.18/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.06
-1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 490 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vegalta Sendai
2W-0D-4L
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
448 Passes 241
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-2 HT 0-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
04.11.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 2-1 HT 1-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
01.04.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 0-1 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
23.07.2022 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-2 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
08.05.2022 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-2 HT 0-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
18.09.2019 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 2-1 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vegalta Sendai
2-2
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vegalta Sendai vs V-Varen Nagasaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vegalta Sendai and V-Varen Nagasaki couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Vegalta Sendai had 49% of the ball to V-Varen Nagasaki's 51%, shots finished 17-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, V-Varen Nagasaki led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vegalta Sendai and 1.33 for V-Varen Nagasaki.

What was the final score of Vegalta Sendai vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Vegalta Sendai 2-2 V-Varen Nagasaki in the Japan - J2 League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vegalta Sendai vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Before kick-off our model rated an V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vegalta Sendai 36%, draw 24%, V-Varen Nagasaki 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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