Ehime FC 3-0 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
52%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.18
Over 2.5
45%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.29
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
20%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.09
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.29 — our 26% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
5%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+5.1pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.7pp
52%
Away Win
64%
-12.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
42%
+12.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
58%
-12.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ehime FC EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 69%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
0.84/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/0.65
-8% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +9%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
234 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ehime FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2024 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-0 HT 0-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ehime FC
3-0
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ehime FC vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ehime FC ran out comfortable winners over Shimizu S-Pulse 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Shimizu S-Pulse at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ehime FC had 39% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 61%, shots finished 14-21.

What was the final score of Ehime FC vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Ehime FC 3-0 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J2 League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ehime FC vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ehime FC 21%, draw 27%, Shimizu S-Pulse 52%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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