ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-1 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
43%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.42
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.95
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+7.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
43%
Away Win
54%
-10.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.1pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-28% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
222 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
285 Passes 582
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.06.2024 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-1 HT 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JPK
14.04.2024 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 4-0 HT 1-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
23.09.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-0 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
07.05.2023 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-1 HT 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
24.09.2022 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-6 HT 0-2 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
05.06.2022 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0-1
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Renofa Yamaguchi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renofa Yamaguchi edged past ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Renofa Yamaguchi as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, ThespaKusatsu Gunma had 56% of the ball to Renofa Yamaguchi's 44%, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Renofa Yamaguchi led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for ThespaKusatsu Gunma and 2.50 for Renofa Yamaguchi.

What was the final score of ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-1 Renofa Yamaguchi in the Japan - J2 League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Renofa Yamaguchi win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split ThespaKusatsu Gunma 26%, draw 30%, Renofa Yamaguchi 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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