ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-1 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 12 Jun 2024

📅12/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
4.94
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-4.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.7pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 55%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-42% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
257 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
285 Passes 582
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.04.2024 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 4-0 HT 1-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
23.09.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-0 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
07.05.2023 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-1 HT 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
24.09.2022 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-6 HT 0-2 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
05.06.2022 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
22.08.2021 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 3-0 HT 3-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
1-1
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Renofa Yamaguchi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ThespaKusatsu Gunma and Renofa Yamaguchi shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Renofa Yamaguchi at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, ThespaKusatsu Gunma had 54% of the ball to Renofa Yamaguchi's 46%, shots finished 11-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Renofa Yamaguchi led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for ThespaKusatsu Gunma and 2.33 for Renofa Yamaguchi.

What was the final score of ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-1 Renofa Yamaguchi in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Renofa Yamaguchi win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split ThespaKusatsu Gunma 28%, draw 25%, Renofa Yamaguchi 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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