Renofa Yamaguchi 4-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.54
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.65
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-4.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.4pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 24%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +15%
1.73/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.24
+15% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
442 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
4W-0D-2L
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
582 Passes 285
1 Yellow Cards 0
23.09.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-0 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
07.05.2023 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-1 HT 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
24.09.2022 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-6 HT 0-2 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
05.06.2022 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
22.08.2021 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 3-0 HT 3-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
17.04.2021 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-0 HT 1-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
4-0
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Renofa Yamaguchi vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renofa Yamaguchi swept aside ThespaKusatsu Gunma 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Renofa Yamaguchi as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Renofa Yamaguchi had 39% of the ball to ThespaKusatsu Gunma's 61%, shots finished 13-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Renofa Yamaguchi had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Renofa Yamaguchi and 1.17 for ThespaKusatsu Gunma.

What was the final score of Renofa Yamaguchi vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Renofa Yamaguchi 4-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma in the Japan - J2 League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renofa Yamaguchi vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renofa Yamaguchi win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Renofa Yamaguchi 48%, draw 25%, ThespaKusatsu Gunma 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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