Roasso Kumamoto 3-3 Ventforet Kofu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
44%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.7
6+ Goals
12%
15.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-5.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
44%
Away Win
36%
+7.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 39%
-10% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +12%
1.14/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.21
-7% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
313 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
538 Passes 314
2 Yellow Cards 0
03.11.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 2-0 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
07.05.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 2-0 HT 1-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
13.08.2022 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 2-2 HT 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
28.05.2022 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 HT 0-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
3-3
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
69% Ball Possession 31%
13 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Roasso Kumamoto vs Ventforet Kofu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roasso Kumamoto and Ventforet Kofu shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ventforet Kofu at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Roasso Kumamoto had 69% of the ball to Ventforet Kofu's 31%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Roasso Kumamoto and 1.25 for Ventforet Kofu.

What was the final score of Roasso Kumamoto vs Ventforet Kofu?

Roasso Kumamoto 3-3 Ventforet Kofu in the Japan - J2 League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roasso Kumamoto vs Ventforet Kofu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ventforet Kofu win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Roasso Kumamoto 31%, draw 25%, Ventforet Kofu 44%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ventforet Kofu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ventforet Kofu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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