Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 Fagiano Okayama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
45%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.07
6+ Goals
10%
19.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-1.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+3.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 45%
-13% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / -6%
1.26/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.92
+15% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
360 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
20.04.2024 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 2-0 HT 2-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
24.07.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-2 HT 1-1 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
12.04.2023 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-0 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
02.07.2022 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-2 HT 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
22.04.2022 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 HT 0-1 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
27.08.2017 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 HT 0-1 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
0-1
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Roasso Kumamoto vs Fagiano Okayama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fagiano Okayama squeezed past Roasso Kumamoto 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fagiano Okayama as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Roasso Kumamoto had 51% of the ball to Fagiano Okayama's 49%, shots finished 6-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fagiano Okayama led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Roasso Kumamoto and 1.00 for Fagiano Okayama.

What was the final score of Roasso Kumamoto vs Fagiano Okayama?

Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 Fagiano Okayama in the Japan - J2 League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roasso Kumamoto vs Fagiano Okayama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fagiano Okayama win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Roasso Kumamoto 29%, draw 26%, Fagiano Okayama 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fagiano Okayama), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fagiano Okayama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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