Fagiano Okayama 2-0 Roasso Kumamoto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 20 Apr 2024

Fagiano Okayama
2-0 HT 2-0
Roasso Kumamoto
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2024

Fagiano Okayama vs Roasso Kumamoto Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.66
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-8.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fagiano Okayama v Roasso Kumamoto — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +1%
1.34/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.03
-1% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Fagiano Okayama vs Roasso Kumamoto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fagiano Okayama
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.07.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-2 HT 1-1 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
12.04.2023 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-0 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
02.07.2022 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-2 HT 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
22.04.2022 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 HT 0-1 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
27.08.2017 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 HT 0-1 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
23.11.2015 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2

Fagiano Okayama 2-0 Roasso Kumamoto — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fagiano Okayama
2-0
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Fagiano Okayama vs Roasso Kumamoto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fagiano Okayama saw off Roasso Kumamoto 2-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Fagiano Okayama found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Fagiano Okayama had 32% of the ball to Roasso Kumamoto's 68%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fagiano Okayama had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fagiano Okayama and 0.83 for Roasso Kumamoto.

What was the final score of Fagiano Okayama vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Fagiano Okayama 2-0 Roasso Kumamoto in the Japan - J2 League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fagiano Okayama vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fagiano Okayama win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Fagiano Okayama 37%, draw 29%, Roasso Kumamoto 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fagiano Okayama), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fagiano Okayama) ✓ Under 2.5
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