Montedio Yamagata 2-1 Ehime FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 28% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ehime FC EU Bookmakers 30%
-12% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.40/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.21
-8% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montedio Yamagata
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Ehime FC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2021 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-4 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
16.05.2021 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-0 HT 1-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
18.10.2020 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 4-1 HT 2-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
12.08.2020 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
27.10.2019 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 3-0 HT 1-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
14.09.2014 Ehime FC Ehime FC 4-0 HT 1-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montedio Yamagata
2-1
AWAY Ehime FC
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Montedio Yamagata vs Ehime FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montedio Yamagata edged past Ehime FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Montedio Yamagata as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Montedio Yamagata had 57% of the ball to Ehime FC's 43%, shots finished 17-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montedio Yamagata had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Montedio Yamagata and 0.83 for Ehime FC.

What was the final score of Montedio Yamagata vs Ehime FC?

Montedio Yamagata 2-1 Ehime FC in the Japan - J2 League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montedio Yamagata vs Ehime FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Montedio Yamagata 43%, draw 25%, Ehime FC 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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