Ventforet Kofu 4-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.24
6+ Goals
9%
20.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 26%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +18%
1.92/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.19
+28% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
450 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ventforet Kofu
3W-1D-2L
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
518 Passes 294
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.07.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-3 HT 0-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
29.04.2023 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-1 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
30.07.2022 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-1 HT 1-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
04.05.2022 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-0 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
12.09.2021 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-3 HT 0-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
27.06.2021 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 6-2 HT 4-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ventforet Kofu
4-1
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Ventforet Kofu vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ventforet Kofu ran out comfortable winners over ThespaKusatsu Gunma 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ventforet Kofu as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ventforet Kofu had 44% of the ball to ThespaKusatsu Gunma's 56%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ventforet Kofu had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ventforet Kofu and 1.33 for ThespaKusatsu Gunma.

What was the final score of Ventforet Kofu vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Ventforet Kofu 4-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma in the Japan - J2 League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ventforet Kofu vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ventforet Kofu win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ventforet Kofu 45%, draw 26%, ThespaKusatsu Gunma 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ventforet Kofu), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ventforet Kofu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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