Shimizu S-Pulse 3-2 Vegalta Sendai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.41
6+ Goals
10%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +21%
1.28/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.21
-16% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.72 xG 0.99
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
271 Passes 382
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.07.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 0-3 HT 0-2 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
12.04.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 HT 1-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
18.09.2021 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-1 HT 1-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP
23.06.2021 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 2-3 HT 1-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
05.05.2021 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 4-1 HT 2-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JLK
27.03.2021 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 0-1 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
3-2
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shimizu S-Pulse vs Vegalta Sendai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse edged past Vegalta Sendai 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shimizu S-Pulse as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Shimizu S-Pulse had 50% of the ball to Vegalta Sendai's 50%, shots finished 19-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shimizu S-Pulse had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 0.83 for Vegalta Sendai.

What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs Vegalta Sendai?

Shimizu S-Pulse 3-2 Vegalta Sendai in the Japan - J2 League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Vegalta Sendai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 43%, draw 26%, Vegalta Sendai 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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