Montedio Yamagata 0-3 Fagiano Okayama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.9
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.85
6+ Goals
11%
17.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.60/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.83
+33% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
362 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.9 Crosses 18.0
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montedio Yamagata
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
454 Passes 198
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.08.2024 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-1 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
03.05.2024 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 2-2 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
16.09.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 2-0 HT 1-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
03.05.2023 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 2-0 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
30.10.2022 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-3 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
10.09.2022 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 2-1 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montedio Yamagata
0-3
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
389 Passes 263
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Montedio Yamagata vs Fagiano Okayama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fagiano Okayama cruised past Montedio Yamagata 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Fagiano Okayama made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Montedio Yamagata had 58% of the ball to Fagiano Okayama's 42%, shots finished 8-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Montedio Yamagata and 1.17 for Fagiano Okayama.

What was the final score of Montedio Yamagata vs Fagiano Okayama?

Montedio Yamagata 0-3 Fagiano Okayama in the Japan - J2 League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montedio Yamagata vs Fagiano Okayama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Montedio Yamagata 36%, draw 30%, Fagiano Okayama 34%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
1 Dec 2024
07:05 V-Varen Nagasaki vs Vegalta Sendai Analysis →