Parceiro Nagano 1-2 Tochigi City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 8 Mar 2025

Parceiro Nagano
1-2 HT 1-2
Tochigi City
📅08/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Japan - J3 League – 2025

Parceiro Nagano vs Tochigi City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.0pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Parceiro Nagano v Tochigi City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Tochigi City EU Bookmakers 42%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+11% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.0 Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards –

Parceiro Nagano 1-2 Tochigi City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano
1-2
AWAY Tochigi City
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 11
308 Passes 93
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano vs Tochigi City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tochigi City nicked a narrow win over Parceiro Nagano 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Tochigi City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano had 56% of the ball to Tochigi City's 44%, shots finished 6-13.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano vs Tochigi City?

Parceiro Nagano 1-2 Tochigi City in the Japan - J3 League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano vs Tochigi City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tochigi City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano 35%, draw 27%, Tochigi City 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tochigi City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tochigi City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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