Kagoshima United 5-2 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.1pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.8pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.9pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+18% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
213 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.5 Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kagoshima United
0W-2D-0L
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
13.07.2024 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 1-1 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
25.02.2024 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-1 HT 0-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kagoshima United
5-2
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
33% Ball Possession 67%
20 Total Shots 13
11 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
162 Passes 458
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kagoshima United vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kagoshima United swept aside ThespaKusatsu Gunma 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 33% / 31% — and on the day Kagoshima United made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kagoshima United had 33% of the ball to ThespaKusatsu Gunma's 67%, shots finished 20-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kagoshima United and 1.00 for ThespaKusatsu Gunma.

What was the final score of Kagoshima United vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Kagoshima United 5-2 ThespaKusatsu Gunma in the Japan - J3 League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagoshima United vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 36%, draw 33%, ThespaKusatsu Gunma 31%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kagoshima United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kagoshima United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP3 More Japan - J3 League
8 Mar 2025
07:00 Fukushima United vs FC Gifu Analysis →
08:00 Osaka vs Gainare Tottori Analysis →
08:00 Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kamatamare Sanuki Analysis →
08:00 Nara Club vs Ryukyu Analysis →
08:00 Parceiro Nagano vs Tochigi City Analysis →