ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-1 Kagoshima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.33
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.21
6+ Goals
7%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.4pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.6pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 36%
+6% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
0.91/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.66
-26% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
1-1
AWAY Kagoshima United
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Kagoshima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ThespaKusatsu Gunma and Kagoshima United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, ThespaKusatsu Gunma had 45% of the ball to Kagoshima United's 55%, shots finished 8-14.

What was the final score of ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Kagoshima United?

ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-1 Kagoshima United in the Japan - J2 League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Kagoshima United?

Before kick-off our model rated a ThespaKusatsu Gunma win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split ThespaKusatsu Gunma 39%, draw 28%, Kagoshima United 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (ThespaKusatsu Gunma), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ThespaKusatsu Gunma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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