JEF United 2-3 Montedio Yamagata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.04
2-3 Goals
48%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.84
6+ Goals
9%
16.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.0pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.10/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.20
-20% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
288 Passes 338
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.08.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-0 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
25.02.2023 JEF United JEF United 1-3 HT 1-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
18.09.2022 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 2-0 HT 1-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
06.03.2022 JEF United JEF United 0-0 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
09.08.2021 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 3-1 HT 1-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
06.06.2021 JEF United JEF United 1-1 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United
2-3
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH JEF United vs Montedio Yamagata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montedio Yamagata edged past JEF United 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was JEF United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, JEF United had 46% of the ball to Montedio Yamagata's 54%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montedio Yamagata led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for JEF United and 1.67 for Montedio Yamagata.

What was the final score of JEF United vs Montedio Yamagata?

JEF United 2-3 Montedio Yamagata in the Japan - J2 League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United vs Montedio Yamagata?

Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split JEF United 42%, draw 31%, Montedio Yamagata 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (JEF United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JEF United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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