Oita Trinita 1-1 Vegalta Sendai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.6
6+ Goals
10%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.6pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.4pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +14%
1.39/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.34
+2% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oita Trinita
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.98 xG 0.49
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
500 Passes 274
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.08.2023 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 2-3 HT 1-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
29.04.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-0 HT 1-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
10.09.2022 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-0 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
30.03.2022 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-3 HT 0-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
17.10.2021 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 2-0 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP
22.05.2021 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 2-1 HT 1-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oita Trinita
1-1
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Oita Trinita vs Vegalta Sendai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oita Trinita and Vegalta Sendai couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Oita Trinita at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Oita Trinita had 58% of the ball to Vegalta Sendai's 42%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Oita Trinita and 1.17 for Vegalta Sendai.

What was the final score of Oita Trinita vs Vegalta Sendai?

Oita Trinita 1-1 Vegalta Sendai in the Japan - J2 League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oita Trinita vs Vegalta Sendai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oita Trinita win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Oita Trinita 43%, draw 23%, Vegalta Sendai 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Oita Trinita) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oita Trinita) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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