Fagiano Okayama 3-0 Tochigi SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.35
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.25/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.21
-8% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fagiano Okayama
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Tochigi SC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
272 Passes 231
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-1 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
28.05.2023 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 2-1 HT 1-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
17.07.2022 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
01.06.2022 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-1 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JPK
05.03.2022 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
11.09.2021 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-1 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fagiano Okayama
3-0
AWAY Tochigi SC
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fagiano Okayama vs Tochigi SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fagiano Okayama ran out comfortable winners over Tochigi SC 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fagiano Okayama as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Fagiano Okayama had 61% of the ball to Tochigi SC's 39%, shots finished 20-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tochigi SC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fagiano Okayama and 0.83 for Tochigi SC.

What was the final score of Fagiano Okayama vs Tochigi SC?

Fagiano Okayama 3-0 Tochigi SC in the Japan - J2 League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fagiano Okayama vs Tochigi SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fagiano Okayama win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fagiano Okayama 41%, draw 28%, Tochigi SC 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fagiano Okayama), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fagiano Okayama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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