Roasso Kumamoto 1-2 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.13
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
53%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.64
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 28% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
21%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
21%
-3.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.9pp
53%
Away Win
55%
-1.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 59%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.65/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.82/0.51
-35% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / +102%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
28.10.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-3 HT 1-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
11.06.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
1-2
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Roasso Kumamoto vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse squeezed past Roasso Kumamoto 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shimizu S-Pulse as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Roasso Kumamoto had 47% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 53%, shots finished 16-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Roasso Kumamoto and 1.00 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of Roasso Kumamoto vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Roasso Kumamoto 1-2 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J2 League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roasso Kumamoto vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Roasso Kumamoto 18%, draw 29%, Shimizu S-Pulse 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
25 Feb 2024
06:50 Ehime FC vs Blaublitz Akita Analysis →
07:00 JEF United vs Montedio Yamagata Analysis →
07:00 Fagiano Okayama vs Tochigi SC Analysis →
08:00 Oita Trinita vs Vegalta Sendai Analysis →
08:00 ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Kagoshima United Analysis →
08:00 Tokushima Vortis vs Ventforet Kofu Analysis →