Okzhetpes 2-1 Atyrau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 8 Mar 2025

Okzhetpes
2-1 HT 1-0
Atyrau
📅08/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Kazakistan - Super League – 2025

Okzhetpes vs Atyrau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.2pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.6pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-6.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Okzhetpes v Atyrau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Okzhetpes EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Atyrau EU Bookmakers 46%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.68/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.71
-35% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
330 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Okzhetpes vs Atyrau Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Okzhetpes
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Atyrau
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 14
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 0-0 HT 0-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
02.04.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 0-4 HT 0-1 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
29.09.2019 Atyrau Atyrau 2-2 HT 2-1 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
19.04.2015 Atyrau Atyrau 2-1 HT 1-0 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
POST-MATCH Okzhetpes vs Atyrau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Okzhetpes squeezed past Atyrau 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (30% / 34% / 36%) promised a tight game; Okzhetpes found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Okzhetpes and 1.00 for Atyrau.

What was the final score of Okzhetpes vs Atyrau?

Okzhetpes 2-1 Atyrau in the Kazakistan - Super League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Okzhetpes vs Atyrau?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atyrau win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Okzhetpes 30%, draw 34%, Atyrau 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atyrau), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atyrau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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