Kairat 4-0 Ordabasy Shymkent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-0.8pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.1pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kairat EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -24%
1.82/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.53
+37% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kairat
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2024 Kairat Kairat 2-1 HT 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
31.03.2024 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-2 HT 0-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
20.08.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
23.04.2023 Kairat Kairat 2-2 HT 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
15.09.2022 Kairat Kairat 1-2 HT 1-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
07.08.2022 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-3 HT 0-1 Kairat Kairat KAZKK
POST-MATCH Kairat vs Ordabasy Shymkent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kairat swept aside Ordabasy Shymkent 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kairat as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kairat had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kairat and 1.33 for Ordabasy Shymkent.

What was the final score of Kairat vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Kairat 4-0 Ordabasy Shymkent in the Kazakistan - Super League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kairat vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kairat 46%, draw 24%, Ordabasy Shymkent 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kairat), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kairat) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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