Shabab Al Ghazieh 0-4 Safa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 8 Mar 2025

Shabab Al Ghazieh
0-4 HT 0-2
Safa
📅08/03/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Lebanon - Premier League – 2024/2025

Shabab Al Ghazieh vs Safa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
12.23
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
54%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.75
No
61%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
27%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
6%
+17.8pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.6pp
54%
Away Win
76%
-22.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
32%
+6.3pp
61%
BTTS No
68%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shabab Al Ghazieh v Safa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabab Al Ghazieh EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Safa EU Bookmakers 79%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
246 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Shabab Al Ghazieh vs Safa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Safa cruised past Shabab Al Ghazieh 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Safa as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (61%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Shabab Al Ghazieh vs Safa?

Shabab Al Ghazieh 0-4 Safa in the Lebanon - Premier League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabab Al Ghazieh vs Safa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Safa win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Shabab Al Ghazieh 24%, draw 22%, Safa 54%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Safa), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Safa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
8 Mar 2025
15:15 Shabab Al Sahel vs Bourj Analysis →
16:45 Racing Beirut vs Al Ahed Analysis →