Racing Beirut 0-4 Al Ahed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.91
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
52%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
24%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
14%
+13.6pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.1pp
52%
Away Win
66%
-13.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.3pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Beirut EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahed EU Bookmakers 70%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
-1% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +50%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
231 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 447 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Beirut
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Ahed
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
24.06.2024 Racing Beirut Racing Beirut 1-4 HT 1-3 Al Ahed Al Ahed LUBN
07.03.2024 Racing Beirut Racing Beirut 1-2 Al Ahed Al Ahed LUBN
POST-MATCH Racing Beirut vs Al Ahed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahed swept aside Racing Beirut 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahed as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Ahed led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Racing Beirut and 3.00 for Al Ahed.

What was the final score of Racing Beirut vs Al Ahed?

Racing Beirut 0-4 Al Ahed in the Lebanon - Premier League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Beirut vs Al Ahed?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahed win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Racing Beirut 27%, draw 21%, Al Ahed 52%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahed), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahed) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
8 Mar 2025
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