Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 Pharco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Cup, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.45
Over 2.5
44%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.02
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
5.6
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+5.9pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.5pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
65%
-8.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
35%
+8.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Pharco EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Pharco
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.82 xG 1.18
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
268 Passes 278
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.02.2025 Pharco Pharco 3-2 HT 1-1 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
19.04.2023 Pharco Pharco 3-1 HT 1-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
24.12.2022 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 0-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
27.08.2022 Pharco Pharco 1-1 HT 0-1 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
25.04.2022 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 1-1 HT 0-1 Pharco Pharco MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
1-0
AWAY Pharco
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pharco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ghazl El Mehalla nicked a narrow win over Pharco 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Ghazl El Mehalla made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Ghazl El Mehalla had 63% of the ball to Pharco's 37%, shots finished 14-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pharco led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ghazl El Mehalla and 1.60 for Pharco.

What was the final score of Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pharco?

Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 Pharco in the Egypt - Cup on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pharco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ghazl El Mehalla win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ghazl El Mehalla 40%, draw 27%, Pharco 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ghazl El Mehalla), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ghazl El Mehalla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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