Znicz Pruszkow 2-1 Miedz Legnica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.66
6+ Goals
10%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 29% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Znicz Pruszkow EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Miedz Legnica EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +16%
1.44/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.74
+28% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +52%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Znicz Pruszkow
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Miedz Legnica
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.08.2024 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 4-0 HT 3-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL1
28.04.2024 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 1-2 HT 0-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL1
30.10.2023 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 1-1 HT 1-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Znicz Pruszkow
2-1
AWAY Miedz Legnica
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Znicz Pruszkow vs Miedz Legnica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Znicz Pruszkow edged past Miedz Legnica 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Miedz Legnica at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Znicz Pruszkow had 48% of the ball to Miedz Legnica's 52%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Znicz Pruszkow and 2.00 for Miedz Legnica.

What was the final score of Znicz Pruszkow vs Miedz Legnica?

Znicz Pruszkow 2-1 Miedz Legnica in the Poland - 1st Division on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Znicz Pruszkow vs Miedz Legnica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Miedz Legnica win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Znicz Pruszkow 34%, draw 26%, Miedz Legnica 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Miedz Legnica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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