Miedz Legnica 1-2 Znicz Pruszkow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.91
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
18.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.0 — our 26% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.6pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miedz Legnica EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.87/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.36
+21% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miedz Legnica
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.10.2023 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 1-1 HT 1-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miedz Legnica
1-2
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Miedz Legnica vs Znicz Pruszkow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Znicz Pruszkow nicked a narrow win over Miedz Legnica 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Miedz Legnica at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Miedz Legnica had 56% of the ball to Znicz Pruszkow's 44%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of Miedz Legnica vs Znicz Pruszkow?

Miedz Legnica 1-2 Znicz Pruszkow in the Poland - 1st Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miedz Legnica vs Znicz Pruszkow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Miedz Legnica win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Miedz Legnica 43%, draw 27%, Znicz Pruszkow 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Miedz Legnica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Miedz Legnica) ✓ BTTS Yes
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