Gornik Leczna 0-1 Nieciecza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.86
6+ Goals
9%
17.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 30% vs market 27.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
1.15/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.48
-13% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Leczna
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Nieciecza
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.11 xG 1.87
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
215 Passes 324
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 26
23 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Nieciecza Nieciecza 3-0 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
23.04.2023 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 2-1 HT 2-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
17.09.2022 Nieciecza Nieciecza 2-2 HT 0-2 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
09.05.2022 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-1 HT 1-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL
21.11.2021 Nieciecza Nieciecza 1-1 HT 1-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL
02.05.2021 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 3-3 HT 1-2 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Leczna
0-1
AWAY Nieciecza
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Gornik Leczna vs Nieciecza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nieciecza nicked a narrow win over Gornik Leczna 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Nieciecza found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gornik Leczna had 60% of the ball to Nieciecza's 40%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gornik Leczna and 1.83 for Nieciecza.

What was the final score of Gornik Leczna vs Nieciecza?

Gornik Leczna 0-1 Nieciecza in the Poland - 1st Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Leczna vs Nieciecza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gornik Leczna win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gornik Leczna 40%, draw 27%, Nieciecza 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gornik Leczna), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gornik Leczna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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