Polonia Warszawa 1-2 Katowice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2024

Polonia Warszawa
1-2 HT 1-0
Katowice
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Poland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Polonia Warszawa vs Katowice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.82
Over 2.5
57%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.16
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.71
6+ Goals
11%
15.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.71 — our 25% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
51%
-8.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
49%
+8.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.6pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Polonia Warszawa v Katowice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Katowice EU Bookmakers 45%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +19%
1.34/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.89
+16% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.1

Polonia Warszawa vs Katowice Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonia Warszawa
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Katowice
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.10.2023 Katowice Katowice 0-2 HT 0-1 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL1
POST-MATCH Polonia Warszawa vs Katowice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katowice edged past Polonia Warszawa 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Katowice made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Polonia Warszawa vs Katowice?

Polonia Warszawa 1-2 Katowice in the Poland - 1st Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Warszawa vs Katowice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonia Warszawa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Polonia Warszawa 37%, draw 26%, Katowice 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL1 More Poland - 1st Division
28 Apr 2024
13:40 Arka Gdynia vs Resovia Rzeszow Analysis →
16:00 Miedz Legnica vs Znicz Pruszkow Analysis →
19:00 Gornik Leczna vs Nieciecza Analysis →