Arka Gdynia 3-2 Resovia Rzeszow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒13:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
25%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.37
6+ Goals
12%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 27% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-14.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.0pp
25%
Away Win
13%
+11.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.4pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Resovia Rzeszow EU Bookmakers 16%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.89/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.20
+6% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / -21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
386 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arka Gdynia
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Resovia Rzeszow
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow 1-2 HT 1-1 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
03.03.2023 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 4-0 HT 3-0 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow POL1
10.08.2022 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow 1-3 HT 0-1 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
01.05.2022 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow 4-1 HT 0-1 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
23.10.2021 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-0 HT 2-0 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow POL1
14.05.2021 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 1-0 HT 1-0 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arka Gdynia
3-2
AWAY Resovia Rzeszow
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Arka Gdynia vs Resovia Rzeszow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arka Gdynia squeezed past Resovia Rzeszow 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arka Gdynia as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Arka Gdynia had 53% of the ball to Resovia Rzeszow's 47%, shots finished 18-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arka Gdynia had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Arka Gdynia and 1.00 for Resovia Rzeszow.

What was the final score of Arka Gdynia vs Resovia Rzeszow?

Arka Gdynia 3-2 Resovia Rzeszow in the Poland - 1st Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arka Gdynia vs Resovia Rzeszow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arka Gdynia win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Arka Gdynia 51%, draw 24%, Resovia Rzeszow 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arka Gdynia) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arka Gdynia)
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