Zaglebie Sosnowiec 3-1 Zaglebie Lubin II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.8
Over 2.5
56%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.93
2-3 Goals
33%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.57
6+ Goals
16%
15.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.57 — our 26% vs market 21.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.6pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -10%
2.22/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.00
+30% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
31 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 3
11.08.2024 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II 0-0 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
3-1
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Zaglebie Lubin II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Sosnowiec got the better of Zaglebie Lubin II 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zaglebie Sosnowiec as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zaglebie Sosnowiec had 54% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin II's 46%, shots finished 17-5.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 3-1 Zaglebie Lubin II in the Poland - 2nd Division on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaglebie Sosnowiec win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Sosnowiec 49%, draw 24%, Zaglebie Lubin II 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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