Swit Skolwin 1-2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.58
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.07
6+ Goals
8%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+6.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-4.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.5pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swit Skolwin EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 51%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.32/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/0.25
+7% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
257 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swit Skolwin
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2024 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 4-1 HT 2-1 Swit Skolwin POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swit Skolwin
1-2
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Swit Skolwin vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki edged past Swit Skolwin 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Swit Skolwin had 51% of the ball to Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki's 49%, shots finished 12-13.

What was the final score of Swit Skolwin vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

Swit Skolwin 1-2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki in the Poland - 2nd Division on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swit Skolwin vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Swit Skolwin 32%, draw 24%, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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