Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 4-1 Swit Skolwin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.0
6+ Goals
7%
18.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 32% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.1pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Swit Skolwin EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
1.36/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-8% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
4-1
AWAY Swit Skolwin
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Swit Skolwin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki ran out comfortable winners over Swit Skolwin 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki had 50% of the ball to Swit Skolwin's 50%, shots finished 18-10.

What was the final score of Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Swit Skolwin?

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 4-1 Swit Skolwin in the Poland - 2nd Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Swit Skolwin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 42%, draw 27%, Swit Skolwin 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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