Resovia Rzeszow 2-1 Olimpia Grudziadz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.76
6+ Goals
9%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 33% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.6pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Resovia Rzeszow EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 30%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -17%
0.82/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.63
-47% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
POST-MATCH Resovia Rzeszow vs Olimpia Grudziadz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Resovia Rzeszow edged past Olimpia Grudziadz 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Resovia Rzeszow as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Resovia Rzeszow vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

Resovia Rzeszow 2-1 Olimpia Grudziadz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Resovia Rzeszow vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Resovia Rzeszow win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Resovia Rzeszow 47%, draw 28%, Olimpia Grudziadz 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Resovia Rzeszow) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Resovia Rzeszow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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