Dezembro 1-3 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
28%
+9.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
33%
Away Win
44%
-10.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.6pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dezembro EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.22/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.92
-8% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +27%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dezembro
1-3
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dezembro vs Lusitania FC Lourosa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lusitania FC Lourosa saw off Dezembro 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Lusitania FC Lourosa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dezembro had 58% of the ball to Lusitania FC Lourosa's 42%, shots finished 12-10.

What was the final score of Dezembro vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?

Dezembro 1-3 Lusitania FC Lourosa in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dezembro vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dezembro win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dezembro 38%, draw 29%, Lusitania FC Lourosa 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dezembro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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