Lusitania 0-1 Academica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.3pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitania EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Academica EU Bookmakers 46%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.30/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.00
-1% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lusitania
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Academica
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2024 Academica Academica 5-1 HT 2-1 Lusitania Lusitania POR3
05.08.2024 Lusitania Lusitania 3-3 HT 1-0 Academica Academica POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitania
0-1
AWAY Academica
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 11
12 Corners 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lusitania vs Academica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academica edged past Lusitania 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 30% / 40% — and on the day Academica made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Lusitania had 53% of the ball to Academica's 47%, shots finished 7-18.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Academica led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lusitania and 4.00 for Academica.

What was the final score of Lusitania vs Academica?

Lusitania 0-1 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitania vs Academica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lusitania 30%, draw 30%, Academica 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academica), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Academica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
8 Mar 2025
17:00 Dezembro vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Analysis →
22:00 Anadia vs Vilaverdense Analysis →