Hammam-Sousse 1-1 AS Marsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 8 Mar 2025

Hammam-Sousse
1-1
AS Marsa
📅08/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme – 2024/2025

Hammam-Sousse vs AS Marsa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.5pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.7pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.3pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hammam-Sousse v AS Marsa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammam-Sousse EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Marsa EU Bookmakers 28%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.51/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.95
+27% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +26%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards –

Hammam-Sousse vs AS Marsa Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammam-Sousse
1W-0D-0L
AWAY AS Marsa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.11.2024 AS Marsa AS Marsa 0-1 Hammam-Sousse Hammam-Sousse TUN2

Hammam-Sousse 1-1 AS Marsa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammam-Sousse
1-1
AWAY AS Marsa
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hammam-Sousse vs AS Marsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammam-Sousse and AS Marsa shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Hammam-Sousse had 47% of the ball to AS Marsa's 53%, shots finished 12-11.

What was the final score of Hammam-Sousse vs AS Marsa?

Hammam-Sousse 1-1 AS Marsa in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammam-Sousse vs AS Marsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammam-Sousse win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hammam-Sousse 39%, draw 30%, AS Marsa 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hammam-Sousse), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hammam-Sousse) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TUN2 More Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme
8 Mar 2025
16:00 Stade Gabesien vs AS Agareb Analysis →
16:00 Kerkennah vs Kasserine Analysis →