AS Marsa 0-1 Hammam-Sousse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
20%
3.28
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.52
Over 2.5
47%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
-0.0pp
20%
Draw
27%
-6.9pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.5pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Marsa EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammam-Sousse EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
1.69/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.00
+30% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +103% /
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Marsa
0-1
AWAY Hammam-Sousse
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AS Marsa vs Hammam-Sousse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammam-Sousse edged past AS Marsa 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was AS Marsa at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AS Marsa had 67% of the ball to Hammam-Sousse's 33%, shots finished 13-5.

What was the final score of AS Marsa vs Hammam-Sousse?

AS Marsa 0-1 Hammam-Sousse in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Marsa vs Hammam-Sousse?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Marsa win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split AS Marsa 52%, draw 20%, Hammam-Sousse 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AS Marsa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AS Marsa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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