Msaken 1-0 EM Mahdia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 16 Nov 2024

Msaken
1-0
EM Mahdia
📅16/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme – 2024/2025

Msaken vs EM Mahdia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.51
Over 2.5
33%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.2pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.8pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.9pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Msaken v EM Mahdia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Msaken EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY EM Mahdia EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
1.48/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.29
+33% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
283 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Msaken vs EM Mahdia Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Msaken
2W-0D-2L
AWAY EM Mahdia
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
The Meetings
01.04.2023 Msaken Msaken 1-0 HT 0-0 EM Mahdia TUN2
20.11.2022 EM Mahdia 2-1 HT 2-0 Msaken Msaken TUN2
05.03.2022 EM Mahdia 1-0 Msaken Msaken TUN2A
04.12.2021 Msaken Msaken 1-0 EM Mahdia TUN2A
POST-MATCH Msaken vs EM Mahdia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Msaken squeezed past EM Mahdia 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Msaken as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Msaken and 0.75 for EM Mahdia.

What was the final score of Msaken vs EM Mahdia?

Msaken 1-0 EM Mahdia in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Msaken vs EM Mahdia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Msaken win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Msaken 41%, draw 30%, EM Mahdia 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Msaken), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Msaken) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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