Cerro 2-1 Juventud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.4pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.8pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventud EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
0.94/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
-22% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +147% / +13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Juventud
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
25.08.2022 Juventud Juventud 1-1 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU2
29.10.2021 Cerro Cerro 2-1 HT 1-1 Juventud Juventud URU2
22.11.2019 Juventud Juventud 4-2 HT 3-0 Cerro Cerro URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro
2-1
AWAY Juventud
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cerro vs Juventud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro edged past Juventud 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Cerro found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cerro had 37% of the ball to Juventud's 63%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cerro and 2.00 for Juventud.

What was the final score of Cerro vs Juventud?

Cerro 2-1 Juventud in the Uruguay - Premier League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro vs Juventud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cerro 36%, draw 28%, Juventud 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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